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</o:shapelayout></xml><![endif]--></head><body lang=EN-US link=blue vlink=purple><div class=WordSection1><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SMOKE MANAGEMENT FORECAST AND INSTRUCTIONS<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SALEM FORESTRY WEATHER CENTER<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OREGON DEPARTMENT OF FORESTRY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>ISSUED: Tuesday, November 30, 2010 2:40 PM Jim Little<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>1. DISCUSSION AND FORECAST FOR SOUTH CENTRAL OREGON ZONES 624 AND 625<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> WEDNESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>The cold front that brought rain and snow to much of the region Tuesday and Tuesday night is south and east of the area for Wednesday. What remains of the weakening system are now in Idaho, northern Nevada, and northern California. Scattered showers remain, but the air mass will rapidly stabilize and smoke dispersal conditions will be in the marginal range. Transport winds will be light and generally west or southwesterly. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'> EXTENDED OUTLOOK (THURSDAY – SATURDAY)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-size:10.0pt;font-family:"Courier New"'>An upper short wave re-energizes the front to the south on Thursday pushing precipitation back into the region. Southern sections will see greater amounts, but northern areas will see renewed precipitation as well. A drier pattern sets up for the Friday and the weekend and maximum mixing heights will be held down for likely marginal to perhaps poor smoke dispersal conditions later in the extended period. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>2. DISPERSION<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>WEDNESDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 3000 - 4000 ft during the morning. Afternoon mixing height rises to 3500 - 4500 ft then lowers to 2300 - 3300 ft during the evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Transport wind SSW to SW at 19 - 33 mph during the morning. Transport wind increases to SSW to SW at 22 - 38 mph during the afternoon and evening.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Surface wind SSW to SW at 10 - 18 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>OUTLOOK:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>THURSDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height 2500 - 3500 ft during the morning lowering to 1300 - 2300 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind SSW to SW at 15 - 29 mph. Surface wind S to SW at 6 - 12 mph.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>FRIDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 3000 - 4000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface wind light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>SATURDAY<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Mixing height below 1000 ft during the morning rising to 2000 - 3000 ft during the afternoon. Transport wind light and variable. Surface wind light and variable.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>3. BURNING INSTRUCTIONS FOR ZONES 624 AND 625 INCLUDING THE WALKER<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> RANGE PORTION OF ZONE 624<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>This instruction is valid for burning conducted on Wednesday, December 1, 2010.<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==================================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>Avoid ignitions within 12 miles to the SSW through SW of SSRAs. No additional restrictions necessary. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText style='margin-left:.5in'><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>==============================================================<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'>4. SPECIAL NOTE:<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> The smoke management forecaster is available at (503)<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> 945-7401. The smoke management forecaster is available <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> to discuss specific burns. The duty forecaster phone <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> number is (503) 945-7401. Please call this number and <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> not individual's numbers to discuss daily burning. Please<o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> avoid calling before 8 a.m. and between 2 to 3 p.m. <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> This forecast is available on the Internet at: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/fire.shtml/#Smoke_Management <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'><o:p> </o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> Please ensure your units have been planned and accomplished by checking: <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoPlainText><span style='font-family:"Courier New"'> http://oregon.gov/ODF/FIRE/SMP/dailysmoke.shtml <o:p></o:p></span></p><p class=MsoNormal><o:p> </o:p></p></div></body></html>